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Scatter graphs and correlation

Scatter graphs show whether two variables are related, and let you make predictions.

Correlation

Positive: as one goes up, the other goes up.
Negative: as one goes up, the other goes down.
No correlation: no clear pattern.
Correlation does not prove one thing causes the other.

Line of best fit

Draw a straight line through the middle of the points, with roughly equal numbers on each side. Use it to estimate values.

Interpolation and extrapolation

Interpolation: estimating within the range of the data, which is fairly reliable.
Extrapolation: estimating outside the range, which is unreliable.
An outlier is a point far from the pattern.
Worked example

A line of best fit gives y = 2x + 10 for revision hours (x) and test score (y). Estimate the score for 15 hours.

  1. y = 2 × 15 + 10

Answer: 40

Key idea

Positive, negative or no correlation. A line of best fit follows the trend. Interpolation is reliable; extrapolation is not. Correlation is not causation.

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